This is todays average wind map.(Not including thunderstorm winds)Just thought I would point out that the winds above 7,000 feet in that area of the slight risk.This explains why tornadoes will not be likely.Here are the NWS maps for today.As you can see,hail is a low threat due to the winds I went over.
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| Overall threat |
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| tornado threat(At this point it is higher than (usual) |
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| wind threat |
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| hail threat All of this threat might have a northward expansion if the jet steam wind increase just by a little. |
As you can see,every model except the GGEM ensembles show a trend of a negative NAO.Here is the PNA model trends:
The PNA worries me because only the GFS shows a positive PNA and only for a short time.Here is my snowfall map.